Of interest is today’s report that one of Gadhafi’s sons, Khamis, had died of injuries after a dissident pilot had reportedly crashed his aircraft into Tripoli‘s Bab al Aziziya barracks on Saturday. The Czech news site Týden, which received this information from the Italian news agency AGI News and through Arabian Business News, stated that Khamis was Gadhafi’s sixth son and the commander of the Libyan 32nd Brigade, an elite force numbering some 10,000 troops. Týden stressed that the reports of Khamis Gadhafi’s death have not yet been confirmed.
There are also increasing concerns that the intervention may actually make the lot of the Libyan people worse. Libya may fragment, with different areas ruled by warlords: Cyrenaica, for instance, has always been a cauldron of pro-autonomy sentiment. A dissident-led government may succeed in driving Gadhafi out but find itself penetrated and overthrown by jihadists. Neither option seems particularly promising, either for the Libyan people or for their self-proclaimed benefactors and protectors; yet they seem likely, given the vague and contradictory goals proclaimed by the UN, spokesmen for the “bombing coalition” and our own Barack Obama.
Where will all this go? I cannot imagine that anyone knows. The “bombing coalition” has not specifically mentioned regime takedown, but Obama has already made it clear that “Gadhafi must go.” My guess is that, unless goals are refined, and pretty quickly, too, and a fairly-sized coalition support force is put into place for a long time (which no one said they wanted), Libya will turn into another Kosovo which, thanks to insufficient US/NATO intervention, is now ruled by Islamic gangsters. Except that this prospective gangsteristan has a lot of oil and a strategic location on the Mediterranean littoral.